Wednesday, November 2, 2022

The 2022 Midterm Election - What Concerns American Voters

With the 2022 midterm election looming, I thought it was an appropriate time to look at the top issues that are concerning American voters.  For this posting, I'll be looking at recent polling results from the Gallup website which was based on telephone interviews conducted between October 3 and October 23, 2022 using a random sample of 1009 adults (aged 18 years and older) from all fifty states and the District of Columbia.   Of these, 897 were registered voters with 492 being Republican or Republican-leaning independents and 427 being Democrats or Democrat-leaning.  The margin of error of the poll is plus or minus 4 percentage points.  


When asked which of the following issues will be important to their Congressional vote, the following percentage of registered voters felt the following issues were extremely important:


1.) The economy - 49 percent extremely important


2.) Abortion - 42 percent extremely important


3.) Crime - 40 percent extremely important


4.) Gun policy - 38 percent extremely important


5.) Immigration - 37 percent extremely important


6.) Relations with Russia - 31 percent extremely important


7.) Climate change - 26 percent extremely important


By way of comparison, the following percentage of registered voters felt that the aforementioned issues were not that important:


1.) The economy - 2 percent not that important


2.) Abortion - 16 percent not that important


3.) Crime - 8 percent not that important


4.) Gun policy - 11 percent not that important


5.) Immigration - 12 percent not that important


6.) Relations with Russia - 12 percent not that important


7.) Climate change - 32 percent not that important


When looking back at results from a poll taken between June 1 and June 20, 2022, it is interesting to note that the percentage of registered voters who felt that the economy was extremely important dropped from 54 percent to 49 percent and those who felt that climate change was extremely important dropped from 30 percent to 26 percent.


Here is a graphic showing the historical record of the economy as an extremely important issue going back to the 2002 mid-term election, showing the concern that voters had in 2010 after the events of the Great Recession:



When broken down along party lines, we find the following which is not terribly shocking given the massive divide along political lines in America:


It is rather surprising to see that only 33 percent of Democrats believe that the economy is an important issue for Congress, just under half of the 64 percent of Republicans who believe that the economy is Despite the Biden Administration's insistence that climate change has reached an emergency state, it is intriguing to note that less that half of Democrats (49 percent), 22 percent of independents and only 9 percent of Republicans believe that the climate is an extremely important issue, a difference of 40 percentage points, the highest divide among all 7 issues.  


Give the ruling class's insistence that we must all make sacrifices for the sake of Mother Earth, it certainly appears that Americans are not swallowing the KoolAid.  The global aristocracy and their climate change narrative certainly have not proven to be engaging to a majority of American voters in 2022, a factor that will play into the hands of the Republican side of Congress.

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