With the 2016 primary
pretty much over, it's interesting to see that a significant portion of
Americans from both sides of the political spectrum are completely disenchanted
with their current choices for president and their political party of choice. A Gallup poll from early 2016
may help explain why we see favourable/unfavourable polling like this for Hillary Clinton:
...and find that Donald Trump currently has a favourable rating
from 34.1 percent of the electorate and an unfavourable rating from 58.4
percent of the electorate, resulting in a spread of -24.3 percent compared to
Hillary Clinton's -18.1 percent. In both cases, the remaining two
candidates hardly have anything to be proud of given that they are seen by a
minority of American voters as an acceptable presidential candidate.
The Gallup poll explains at least some of this
political disenchantment. Of the 12,137 adults polled, only 29
percent identified as Democrats and 26 percent identified as Republicans.
This leaves 42 percent of American adults identifying themselves as
political independents. This is the fifth consecutive year that 40
percent or more of American voters have identified themselves as independents
which, as you can see on this graph, leaves those who identify themselves as
Democrats and Republicans at (Democrats) or near (Republicans) record lows
going back to the late 1980s:
This rise in political independence is related to growing voter frustration with the
Congressional/Presidential gridlock in Washington. A poll by Gallup in early 2016 showed that 16
percent of those polled felt that "government" was the top U.S.
problem for the second straight year, ahead of the economy which was the
biggest problem for only 13 percent of those polled. Here is a graph showing how Congressional job
approval has declined substantially since 2009 and how it remains close to
seven year lows:
As well, party favourability rankings are very low with
only 43 percent of Americans viewing the Democratic Party favourably and only
38 percent viewing the Republican Party favourably as shown on this graph which
shows political party favourability going back to 1993:
The upside of the growing
move toward political independence actually seems to favour both sides of the political
spectrum equally. When those who declared themselves as independents were
asked whether they lean toward the political right or left, an additional 16
percent said that they favoured the Democrats for a combined total of 45
percent. An additional 16 percent said that they favoured the Republicans
for a combined total of 42 percent.
All of this political
dissatisfaction has led to the rise of two candidates that represented
something different; Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump. Both candidates
have stood firmly against the puppeteers that are now marginally in control of their respective
political parties, much to the delight of a significant portion of Americans
who, for the first time in decades, have actually seen that there are millions
of voters who agree that the current partisan system is broken.
I don't know how you could go about it but America needs a proportional congress where the Green Party, libertarian, communist, conservative, constitutional parties all have a chance to win of seats in congress based on the percentage of votes. I think also if the US went to this type of system a lot more votes would be cast for the 3rd parties as the votes would matter. This two party system is so broken and captured and corrupted its not even funny.
ReplyDeleteDebates should not be limited to candidates of the establishment. Whoever is on the ballot should be at the debates.
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