A paper by William
Laconic entitled "Profits Without Prosperity" looks at the
main reason why high levels of corporate profitability after the Great
Recession have not translated into economic prosperity for Main Street, USA.
Here is
a graph from FRED showing what has happened to after tax corporate profits
since 2000:
While the growth in
corporate profits has levelled somewhat since 2012, at $1.679 trillion in the
third quarter of 2016, profits have grown by $270 billion since their pre-Great
Recession peak in 2006. With that in mind, why has it seemed like
Corporate America appears to be suffering from lethargy? According to the
author of the paper, the blame can be laid at the feet of corporate stock
buybacks. Let's look at a bit of corporate history to help explain the
current situation.
From the end of the
Second World War until the 1970s, Corporate America took a "retain and
reinvest" approach to business; they retained their earnings and
reinvested them in both human and mechanical capital. Companies used
their profits to train their workforces and purchase additional machinery
(among other things) to improve their competitiveness, ultimately leading to
higher but sustainable levels of both profitability for companies and
prosperity for workers. This approach can be considered value
creation. In the late 1970s, things began to change; companies
changed their operating philosophy and took a "downsize and distribute"
approach; they reduced costs and distributed the increased cash to
shareholders. Companies reduced investments in both human and mechanical
capital and used the freed up cash to enrich both employee and non-employee
shareholders which led to increased income inequality and higher base levels of
unemployment. This approach can be considered value extraction.
It should not be
surprising to anyone who has been paying attention over the past few years, but
the value that Corporate America has extracted from itself has been used to
enrich company executives at the same time as the growth in wages for
"working stiffs" have done this since 1978:
Over the past 15 years,
real wages have increased by a paltry 12.8 percent while CEO compensation has
done this (again, compared to 1978
compensation):
With stock-based
compensation forming a larger and large part of overall executive salaries, its
pretty obvious who benefits from the "downsize and distribute"
approach to doing business.
One of the key ways that
Corporate America has implemented the "downsize and distribute" model
is through the use of stock repurchases. By repurchasing its own stock, a
company removes those shares from its overall outstanding share inventory and
can then provide Wall Street with higher per share earnings numbers, the key
metric to maintaining the appearance of business success. This is often
touted as a way of returning value to a company's shareholders including even
the smallest of shareholders.
All of this stock repurchasing
began in 1982 when the SEC instituted Rule 10b-18 of the Securities Exchange Act which
redefined how equities could be purchased by the issuer of those equities
This rule provided a "safe harbour" for companies when that
company wishes to repurchase its own shares; in other words, companies would
not be deemed to have violated the anti-fraud portions of the Securities
Exchange Act of 1934. Purchases had to meet the following criteria:
1.) Manner of
purchase: The issuer or affiliate must
purchase all shares from a single broker or deal
during a single day.
2.) Timing: An
issuer with an average trading volume less than $1 million per day or a public
float value below $150 million is unable to trade within the last 30 minutes of
trading. Companies with higher average-trading-volume or public float value can
trade up until the last 10 minutes.
3.) Price: The
issuer must repurchase at a price that does not exceed the highest independent
bid or the last transaction price quoted.
4.) Volume:
The issuer can't purchase more than 25% of the average daily volume.
This
change to the Securities Exchange Act opened the proverbial can of worms.
The SEC only requires companies to report total quarterly purchases
rather than daily purchases, meaning that it cannot determine whether a company
has actually breached the 25 percent limit on any given day. Even
with the 25 percent limit, companies with very high market capitalization can
purchase hundreds of millions or even billions of dollars worth of their own
stock on a given day. Basically, Rule 10b-18 legalized stock market
manipulation through open market stock repurchases.
Let's look
at the top ten repurchasers for the period between 2003 and 2012 and how
much of each company's net income went into repurchasing their own stock:
These 10
companies spent a combined $859 billion on stock buybacks between
2003 and 2012. During that same ten year period, the CEOs of these same
companies received, on average, total compensation of $168 million each with
34% of that compensation in stock options and 24% in stock awards. As
well, the data shows that, in seven out of the ten companies, the combination
of dividends paid to shareholders and funds spent on repurchasing stocks consumes
more than 100 percent of net income over the ten year timeframe.
What we
see from this report is that Corporate America is far more interested in
enriching itself through stock repurchasing than it is in investing
in innovation and human and mechanical capital. This could easily be
termed corporate financial strip mining; companies strip their own livelihood
and future potential to benefit their own insiders and those on Wall Street
over the short-term. This has led to a situation where employment is
far less secure than it was in the decades immediately after the Second
World War and where those who dwell in the upper floor corner offices get
wealthier and wealthier while their workforce falls further and
further behind.
Thanks for the informative article. Frankly speaking, I don’t know much about stocks and investing but I think that today’s America is prospering together with the most of big corporations. Into my opinion, today’s economy is strong and healthy enough and we can see many national companies growing and successfully developing. However, there are individuals and businesses using tools like loan matching website to stay afloat.
ReplyDeleteWhether it was the Medes-Persians or the Greeks and Romans, it's the same "Blueprint"
ReplyDelete5-10% seize control of the reins of humanity and all goes well the 1st century of that civilizations reign. Once the system is "learned" and trust placed in it " Wham " the greedy self serving entrench themselves and we are suppose to lower our selves and serve them. They might not wear crowns and hold miters yet but it's coming.