We all know
that the United States has a significant military presence around the world,
however, a recent estimate by the current Secretary of Defense, Jim Mattis,
suggests that there may be ways of reducing taxpayers' exposure to maintaining
the military's global inventory. Unfortunately for American taxpayers, little of that saving will end up reducing the Pentagon's overall spending patterns.
Let's look at some background
first. According to the most
recent version of the Base Structure Report - Fiscal Year 2015 issued
by the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and
Logistics, the Department of Defense is one of the federal government's larger
holders of real estate, managing a global real estate portfolio that consists
of the following:
- 561,975 assets (buildings,
structures and linear structures) - these include hospital and medical
facilities, administrative facilities, operating and training facilities,
maintenance and production facilities, research and development facilities,
residential facilities of all types and supply facilities
- these facilities are located on
4855 sites around the globe
- these sites cover an area over
24.9 million acres
To qualify as an individual entry
into the Base Structure Report, a site located in the United States must be
larger than 10 acres in size and have a Plant Replacement Value greater
than $10 million. Sites located in foreign countries must be larger than
10 acres in size or have a Plant Replacement Value greater
than $10 million.
Installations are defined as a
military base, camp, post, station, yard, centre, homeport facility or any
other activity undertaken under the auspices of the Department of Defense
including leased space that supports DoD activities. Here is a
table showing the number of active installations controlled by each branch of
the U.S. military:
Here is a graphic showing the
geographical distribution of Department of Defense sites around the world:
Of the 4855 sites, 4154 are located
in the United States, 114 are located in American territories, 181 are located
in Germany, 122 are located in Japan and 83 are located in South Korea.
Here is a table that breaks down
the Department of Defense physical assets into buildings, structures and linear
structures and assesses a plant replacement value to each (in billions of
dollars):
The total replacement value for the
276,770 buildings, structures and linear structures owned by the Department of
Defense is $879.37 billion with buildings being worth a total of $585.07
billion, structures being worth a total of $131.22 billion and linear
structures being worth a total of $163.08 billion.
Lastly, here is an inventory of
land controlled by the Department of Defense for each branch of the U.S.
military:
As you can see from the Base
Structure Report for 2015, the Department of Defense has a very extensive real
estate portfolio that is worth roughly a trillion dollars when the value of
land is included. Obviously, all of this infrastructure costs untold tax
dollars to maintain and upgrade.
A recent
letter from Defense Secretary Mattis to William Thornberry, Chairman
of the House Committee on Armed Services suggests that the DoD has excess
infrastructure capacity as shown here:
In the October
2017 Department of Defense Infrastructure Capacity report, we find the
following table listing the infrastructure excess capacity by service:
Using 32 metrics of infrastructure,
the report found that when comparing base loading in 1989 to base loading in
2019, the Department of Defense had 22 percent excess infrastructure capacity
compared to projected fiscal year 2019 force levels.
While you might think that the
savings realized by shuttering 22 percent of the excess infrastructure capacity
means that the Department of Defense's budget would decline, such is not the
case. In the report, we find the following:
"The
strategic environment has undergone fundamental changes. In spite of our unique position as a
global power with worldwide interests and military capabilities this change has
redefined the range of challenges we must confront. Uncertainty is inherent in assessing
future threats. Therefore,
the potential for surprise should inform all planning efforts.
In general,
opponents understand they cannot conventionally match U.S. military power. Therefore, they will take time to
identify U.S. vulnerabilities and act accordingly. We expect current and future
adversaries, both state and non-state, will adopt a range of asymmetric and
grand strategic capabilities and methods intended to circumvent our military
advantages. Future
opponents will seek to engage us by acting both indirectly and directly along a
vast spectrum of domains, including cyber, economic, space, air, land, sea, and
undersea. Above all, the
enemy will seek to do the most harm with the least amount of risk.
Our principal challenges are
represented by an array of traditional, irregular, catastrophic, and disruptive
methods and capabilities employed by state and non-state actors. Combined, these reflect the four
persistent challenges we must prevail against in this uncertain era. There are often no hard boundaries
distinguishing one of these categories from another. While the capabilities and methods
within each differ, the most dangerous circumstances are those in which we are
facing, or will face, multiple challenges simultaneously."
In the final line of the report we
find this:
"The longer authorization (to reduce spending on infrastructure) is
delayed, the longer the Department will be forced to expend valuable resources
on unnecessary facilities instead of weapons systems, readiness, and other
national security priorities." (my bold)
As stated in his letter to the
House Committee on Armed Services, the new methods of warfare and technologies
that have been adapted by the U.S. military to fight wars are going to consume
all of the savings gained by reducing excess infrastructure, shifting fiscal resources from
buildings, structures and linear structures to battle readiness. Basically, U.S. taxpayers can pretty
well assure themselves that the Pentagon's spending is going nowhere but up and
that the latest moves to reduce spending will just see the savings funnelled
elsewhere in the "Pentagon's world".
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