Now that we are once again in the midst of yet another season of annual and quarterly corporate profit data, I thought that it would be
pertinent to look at how corporate profits have fared since the depths of the
Great Recession and how the recovery has felt to Corporate America.
Here is a graph from FRED showing corporate
profits before tax, excluding inventory valuation and capital consumption
adjustments (IVA and CCAdj) since the beginning of 2009:
Before tax profits rose from $904.6
billion in the first quarter of 2009 to a new annual, seasonally adjusted
record of $1.8668 trillion in the third quarter of 2013, an increase of 106.4 percent.
Here is a graph showing corporate profits
after tax, again, excluding IVA and CCAdj:
After tax profits rose from $1.038
trillion in the first quarter of 2009 to $1.8687 trillion in the third quarter
of 2013, an increase of 80 percent.
I found this graph rather
interesting. It shows how rapidly corporate profits have grown since the
beginning of the new millennium compared to the years between the Second World
War and the end of the 1990s, a trend that was rather rudely interrupted by the Great Recession:
Notice how the line steepens after the 2001 recession? Over the fifty years between 1947
and the end of 1999, after tax corporate profits rose from $21.9 billion to
$523.1 billion. Over the 13 years since
2000, corporate profits have risen from $523.1 billion to $1.868.7 trillion. One would have to wonder how much higher current
corporate profits would be had the Great Recession not caused profits to drop
to levels that hadn't been seen in nearly a decade.
Now, let's look at a graph that shows what percentage of GDP is
comprised of corporate after tax profits (without the aforementioned IVA and
CCAdj) looking all the way back to the Second World War:
In the third quarter of 2013, after
tax corporate profits made up 11.049 percent of GDP, a post-Second World War
high. You'll also note that corporate profits as a percent of GDP fell to
one of the lowest levels in the past three generations during the Great
Recession, falling from a high of 10.13 percent in the third quarter of 2006 to
a low of 4.62 percent in the third quarter of 2008. In the five years
since the depths of the Great Recession, corporate profits as a percentage of
GDP have more than doubled to record levels.
To change the subject slightly, here's a graph showing the federal
government annual corporate tax receipts paid on corporate income since the beginning of the new millennium:
In 2006, Corporate America remitted
$395 billion in federal taxes on $1.655 trillion in before tax profits.
In 2012, Corporate America remitted $351 billion in federal taxes on
$1.812 trillion in taxes, a drop of $44 billion in remittances on an increase
of $157 billion in before tax profits. All-in-all, in 2012, Corporate
America remitted 19.37 percent of before tax profits to Washington, well below
the 35 percent headline corporate tax rate.
Lastly, here is a graph showing
total employee compensation (wages and salary) as a multiple of corporate after
tax profits:
Doesn't it seem funny that, when
corporate profits are at all-time highs before and after taxes and as a
percentage of GDP, that total employee compensation as a multiple of profits is
now at an all-time low, particularly in light of the fact that Corporate
America is prodding Washington to further lower the rate of corporate taxation and skip the idea of increasing the minimum wage?
Let's just say that the last five years have been among the best experienced by Corporate America since the end of the Second World War and that those who dwell in the corner offices have been among the recovery's biggest beneficiaries. The same cannot be said for the rest of us, particularly the 10 million out-of-work Americans.
Your post is more proof that something is very wrong inside our economy. It would be interesting to see how these profits break down by different sectors of the economy!
ReplyDeleteThanks Bruce. I'll have to see if the data is available.
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ReplyDeleteAnother thought, how much of these "profits" are the result of lower borrowing cost for these companies? Savings from interest on loans and bonds go straight to a companies bottom-line. This has been one time benefit of QE and the super low interest rates.
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